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IA2030 Scorecard

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Global

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SP 6: Supply & Sustainability
6.1

Healthy global markets for vaccines

What Does this Indicator Measure?

The overall health of a vaccine market includes an assessment of the total number of suppliers, relative concentration among them, ability to distribute globally and the state of the development to quantify whether the market is healthy, concerning, or unhealthy. Measured globally, this indicator assesses the health of 12 vaccine markets.

How Will Progress be Measured?

Regular semi-quantitative assessments of individual market health will be conducted by partners on an annual basis to track level of market health over time, disaggregated by antigen and country typology (e.g., income level).

Level of health of the vaccine market—Global

Vaccine2019/20202021
Bacille Calmette-Guerin (BCG)1
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Human papillomavirus (HPV)
Unhealthy
Concerning
Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV)2
Concerning
Concerning
Pneumococcal polysaccharide2
Concerning
Concerning
Measles
Concerning
Concerning
Measles-rubella
Concerning
Concerning
Measles-mumps-rubella (MMR)2
Concerning
Concerning
Penta (whole-cell pertussis-containing)
Healthy
Healthy
Hexa (acellular pertussis-containing)2
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Tetanus-diphtheria2
Healthy
Healthy
Inactivated polio vaccine, stand-alone
Healthy
Healthy
Rotavirus
Healthy
Healthy

1) No market study update in 2020 - same as 2019.

2) No market study update - same as 2020.

Definition: Level of health of the market, disaggregated by antigen and country typology (Gavi, non-Gavi middle-income countries, high-income countries).

Unhealthy: the market does not have a stable and diverse supply

Concerning: the market has a significant concentration of supply with a potential for market disruption

Healthy: the market has a diverse and stable supplier base

Measurement approach: A number of criteria have been defined to determine the level of health of a market. The number of criteria 'met' directly determines the health of the market for each vaccine. The overall health of a vaccine market includes an assessment of the total number of suppliers, relative concentration among them, ability to distribute globally and the state of the development pipeline. The total numbers of suppliers making a specific vaccine give only a partial picture; the market share of the two largest producers provides a sense of how balanced the market is between different suppliers while reach indicates how many vaccines are truly available globally. Lastly, the "innovation" heading indicates the number of vaccines in late-stage development. Markets with a small number of current global producers but with multiple products in the pipeline are viewed as healthier than those with fewer products in the pipeline.
Calculation: Based on assessments of individual antigens and a holistic overview of each market's programmatic context, a semi-quantitative review of the individual market health will be conducted by partners such as WHO, UNICEF, Gavi, and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Data source:

1) UNICEF

2) WHO: via the MI4A initiative

3) Gavi Secretariat

4) BMGF